34.9
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 66
Model: 66 (o)
31.3
7-4 • ATS: 6-4-1 • O/U: 6-5
34.9
Raw: 28.5 • Adj: 34.9 • Mode: 38
-7
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 66 Model: 66 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
31.3
Raw: 26.4 • Adj: 31.3 • Mode: 17
+7
Model Performance
ECU
28.6% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
FAU
37.5% ATS · 71.4% O/U · 71.4% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Pirates
-7
-345
o66
Hit %
29%
75%
50%
Owls
+7
+250
u66
Hit %
38%
71%
71%
Model Picks
FAU +7 (-115)
57% Probability
OVER 66 (-115)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
FAU +11 (-170)
68% Probability
OVER 61.5 (-170)
56% Probability
Model Picks
Florida Atlantic +7 (-115)
57% Probability
OVER 66 (-115)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Florida Atlantic +11 (-170)
68% Probability
OVER 61.5 (-170)
56% Probability
First Half
25.6
Florida Atlantic -0.0
Second Half
29.3
East Carolina -2.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LOW
Spread
Florida Atlantic +11 (-170)
+3.4
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 63.0%
- Model Prob
- 66.2%
- Market Implied
- 63.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.2
- Total Delta
- +5.6
- Home Residual
- +4.2
- Away Residual
- +4.6
- Raw Total
- 54.9
- Adjusted Total
- 66.2
Team Form & Stats
East Carolina
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-4-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
34.9
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
279
Rushing Yds
218
Pass TDs
2.2
Rush TDs
1.4
Florida Atlantic
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
31.3
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
234
Rushing Yds
245
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
W 31-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Charlotte |
W 48-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Temple |
W 45-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
vs Tulsa |
W 41-27 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 19-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 24-35 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Navy |
L 32-42 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ South Florida |
L 13-48 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UAB |
W 53-33 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Rice |
W 27-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
25.6
Florida Atlantic -0.0
Second Half
29.3
East Carolina -2.1
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 66%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
66
Model Play Line
61.5
Model Projection
66.2
Edge
OVER by 4.7
OVER 66% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 44.5 (u)
25.1
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
19.5
Raw: 16.4 • Adj: 19.5 • Mode: 14
+2.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 44.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
25.1
Raw: 30.2 • Adj: 25.1 • Mode: 31
-2.5
Model Performance
UK
37.5% ATS · 42.9% O/U · 75.0% SU
LOU
77.8% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 66.7% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Wildcats
+2.5
-115
o46.5
Hit %
38%
75%
43%
Cardinals
-2.5
-115
u46.5
Hit %
78%
67%
44%
Model Picks
LOU -2.5 (-105)
57% Probability
UNDER 46.5 (-110)
56% Probability
Safe Picks
LOU +2.5 (-190)
70% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-165)
70% Probability
Model Picks
Louisville -2.5 (-105)
57% Probability
UNDER 46.5 (-110)
56% Probability
Safe Picks
Louisville +2.5 (-190)
70% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-165)
70% Probability
First Half
21.7
Louisville -6.1
Second Half
24.9
Louisville -7.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Louisville +2.5 (-190)
+3.1
- Model Prob
- 60.6%
- Market Implied
- 65.5%
- Model Prob
- 70.7%
- Market Implied
- 62.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.6
- Total Delta
- -1.9
- Home Residual
- -4.2
- Away Residual
- +1.3
- Raw Total
- 46.6
- Adjusted Total
- 44.6
Team Form & Stats
Kentucky
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
19.5
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
174
Rushing Yds
187
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
1.0
Louisville
Record 7-4 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.1
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
206
Rushing Yds
241
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida |
W 38-7 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Auburn |
W 10-3 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Tennessee |
L 34-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas |
L 13-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Georgia |
L 14-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
vs Clemson |
L 19-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs California |
L 26-29 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Virginia Tech |
W 28-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Boston College |
W 38-24 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ Miami |
W 24-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
21.7
Louisville -6.1
Second Half
24.9
Louisville -7.7
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 61%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 71%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
40.5
Model Projection
44.6
Edge
OVER by 4.1
OVER 71% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.1
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 45.5
Model: 53 (o)
24.9
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
28.1
Raw: 22.3 • Adj: 28.1 • Mode: 21
-11
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 45.5 Model: 53 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 7-4
24.9
Raw: 25.7 • Adj: 24.9 • Mode: 24
+11
Model Performance
TOL
37.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
CMU
25.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 87.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Rockets
-11
-445
o45.5
Hit %
38%
63%
50%
Chippewas
+11
+310
u45.5
Hit %
25%
88%
63%
Model Picks
CMU +11 (-115)
68% Probability
OVER 45.5 (-105)
71% Probability
Safe Picks
CMU +15 (-175)
74% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-190)
79% Probability
Model Picks
Central Michigan +11 (-115)
68% Probability
OVER 45.5 (-105)
71% Probability
Safe Picks
Central Michigan +15 (-175)
74% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-190)
79% Probability
First Half
22.6
Central Michigan -1.4
Second Half
25.3
Central Michigan -2.1
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Central Michigan +15 (-175) · MEDIUM
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Central Michigan +15 (-175)
+7.8
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 63.6%
- Model Prob
- 67.8%
- Market Implied
- 65.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.3
- Total Delta
- +5.8
- Home Residual
- +4.8
- Away Residual
- +4.3
- Raw Total
- 48.0
- Adjusted Total
- 53.1
Team Form & Stats
Toledo
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
28.1
Vegas Spread
-11
Passing Yds
243
Rushing Yds
178
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.2
Central Michigan
Record 7-4 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
24.9
Vegas Spread
+11
Passing Yds
223
Rushing Yds
234
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
@ Miami (OH) |
W 24-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
vs Northern Illinois |
W 42-3 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Washington State |
L 7-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Kent State |
W 45-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Bowling Green |
L 23-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
vs Buffalo |
W 38-19 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Western Michigan |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Massachusetts |
W 38-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Bowling Green |
W 27-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Akron |
L 22-28 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
22.6
Central Michigan -1.4
Second Half
25.3
Central Michigan -2.1
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 68%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 40.5 (-190)
68%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
45.5
Model Play Line
40.5
Model Projection
53.1
Edge
OVER by 12.6
OVER 68% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
12.8
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 42.5
Model: 39.5 (u)
26.8
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
12.8
Raw: 21.1 • Adj: 12.8 • Mode: 17
+17.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 42.5 Model: 39.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
26.8
Raw: 20.8 • Adj: 26.8 • Mode: 21
-17.5
Model Performance
BALL
50.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
M-OH
12.5% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 87.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Cardinals
+17.5
+550
o42.5
Hit %
50%
63%
50%
RedHawks
-17.5
-920
u42.5
Hit %
13%
88%
63%
Model Picks
BALL +17.5 (-115)
58% Probability
UNDER 42.5 (-110)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
BALL +20.5 (-165)
63% Probability
OVER 35.5 (-175)
72% Probability
Model Picks
Ball State +17.5 (-115)
58% Probability
UNDER 42.5 (-110)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
Ball State +20.5 (-165)
63% Probability
OVER 35.5 (-175)
72% Probability
First Half
19.8
Ball State -0.2
Second Half
22.1
Ball State -0.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Ball State +20.5 (-165)
+3.4
- Model Prob
- 63.2%
- Market Implied
- 62.3%
- Model Prob
- 73.1%
- Market Implied
- 63.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.5
- Total Delta
- -2.4
- Home Residual
- +2.4
- Away Residual
- -6.3
- Raw Total
- 41.9
- Adjusted Total
- 39.6
Team Form & Stats
Ball State
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
12.8
Vegas Spread
+17.5
Passing Yds
227
Rushing Yds
158
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.0
Miami (OH)
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
26.8
Vegas Spread
-17.5
Passing Yds
230
Rushing Yds
167
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Eastern Michigan |
L 9-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
vs Kent State |
W 17-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Northern Illinois |
L 7-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Akron |
W 42-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Western Michigan |
L 0-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
vs Toledo |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
@ Ohio |
L 20-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Western Michigan |
W 26-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Eastern Michigan |
W 44-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Akron |
W 20-7 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.8
Ball State -0.2
Second Half
22.1
Ball State -0.1
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 63%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
42.5
Model Play Line
35.5
Model Projection
39.6
Edge
OVER by 4.1
OVER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.0
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 47.5
Model: 54 (o)
25.8
6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
28.0
Raw: 24.8 • Adj: 28.0 • Mode: 27
+2.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 47.5 Model: 54 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
25.8
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 25.8 • Mode: 21
-2.5
Model Performance
CLEM
77.8% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 88.9% SU
SC
37.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
+2.5
-105
o47.5
Hit %
78%
89%
50%
Gamecocks
-2.5
-125
u47.5
Hit %
38%
75%
50%
Model Picks
CLEM +2.5 (-115)
61% Probability
OVER 47.5 (-120)
67% Probability
Safe Picks
CLEM +6.5 (-200)
67% Probability
OVER 41.5 (-165)
72% Probability
Model Picks
Clemson +2.5 (-115)
61% Probability
OVER 47.5 (-120)
67% Probability
Safe Picks
Clemson +6.5 (-200)
67% Probability
OVER 41.5 (-165)
72% Probability
First Half
23.8
Clemson -0.4
Second Half
25.1
Clemson -0.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Clemson +6.5 (-200) · MEDIUM
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Clemson +6.5 (-200)
+0.3
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 66.7%
- Model Prob
- 70.7%
- Market Implied
- 62.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -2.2
- Total Delta
- +5.2
- Home Residual
- +2.4
- Away Residual
- +6.2
- Raw Total
- 48.9
- Adjusted Total
- 53.8
Team Form & Stats
Clemson
Record 6-5 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
28.0
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
249
Rushing Yds
204
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.2
South Carolina
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.8
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
230
Rushing Yds
211
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
W 20-19 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida State |
W 24-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Duke |
L 45-46 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs SMU |
L 24-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 41-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Texas A&M |
L 30-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 14-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Alabama |
L 22-29 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 7-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ LSU |
L 10-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
23.8
Clemson -0.4
Second Half
25.1
Clemson -0.3
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 71%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 41.5 (-165)
71%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
47.5
Model Play Line
41.5
Model Projection
53.8
Edge
OVER by 12.3
OVER 71% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.2
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 57
Model: 58 (o)
35.0
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
23.2
Raw: 14.2 • Adj: 23.2 • Mode: 7
+2.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 57 Model: 58 (o)
5-6 • ATS: 2-9 • O/U: 6-5
35.0
Raw: 47.3 • Adj: 35.0 • Mode: 48
-2.5
Model Performance
HOU
44.4% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 55.6% SU
BAY
37.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Cougars
+2.5
-110
o57
Hit %
44%
56%
33%
Bears
-2.5
-120
u57
Hit %
38%
50%
50%
Model Picks
BAY -2.5 (-110)
69% Probability
OVER 57 (-110)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
BAY +2.5 (-220)
78% Probability
OVER 50.5 (-160)
60% Probability
Model Picks
Baylor -2.5 (-110)
69% Probability
OVER 57 (-110)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
Baylor +2.5 (-220)
78% Probability
OVER 50.5 (-160)
60% Probability
First Half
30.0
Baylor -16.8
Second Half
31.4
Baylor -16.4
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Baylor +2.5 (-220) · MEDIUM
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Baylor +2.5 (-220)
+9.3
- Model Prob
- 60.6%
- Market Implied
- 68.8%
- Model Prob
- 72.2%
- Market Implied
- 61.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -6.0
- Total Delta
- -1.7
- Home Residual
- -7.7
- Away Residual
- +4.8
- Raw Total
- 61.5
- Adjusted Total
- 58.2
Team Form & Stats
Houston
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
#25
Model Score
23.2
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
236
Rushing Yds
172
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
0.7
Baylor
Record 5-6 · ATS 2-9 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
35.0
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
189
Rushing Yds
137
Pass TDs
3.0
Rush TDs
3.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ UCF |
W 30-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs West Virginia |
L 35-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
W 24-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
W 31-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 39-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Utah |
L 28-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 30-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 20-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ TCU |
L 36-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Kansas State |
W 35-34 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
30.0
Baylor -16.8
Second Half
31.4
Baylor -16.4
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 61%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 72%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Baylor +2.5 (-220)
61%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
57
Model Play Line
50.5
Model Projection
58.2
Edge
OVER by 7.7
OVER 72% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
30.0
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 43.5
Model: 50 (o)
20.2
11-0 • ATS: 9-1-1 • O/U: 4-7
30.0
Raw: 26.9 • Adj: 30.0 • Mode: 31
-10
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 43.5 Model: 50 (o)
9-2 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
20.2
Raw: 21.7 • Adj: 20.2 • Mode: 21
+10
Model Performance
OSU
25.0% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 87.5% SU
MICH
44.4% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 88.9% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Buckeyes
-10
-375
o43.5
Hit %
25%
88%
38%
Wolverines
+10
+295
u43.5
Hit %
44%
89%
33%
Model Picks
MICH +10 (-115)
51% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-115)
69% Probability
Safe Picks
MICH +19.5 (-346)
71% Probability
OVER 32.5 (-435)
86% Probability
Model Picks
Michigan +10 (-115)
51% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-115)
69% Probability
Safe Picks
Michigan +19.5 (-346)
71% Probability
OVER 32.5 (-435)
86% Probability
First Half
22.9
Ohio State -2.1
Second Half
25.7
Ohio State -3.1
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Total · OVER 32.5 (-435) · CONFIDENT
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Michigan +19.5 (-346)
+0.3
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.6%
- Model Prob
- 86.2%
- Market Implied
- 81.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.4
- Total Delta
- +3.5
- Home Residual
- +0.0
- Away Residual
- +5.1
- Raw Total
- 48.6
- Adjusted Total
- 50.2
Team Form & Stats
Ohio State
Record 11-0 · ATS 9-1-1 · O/U 4-7
#1
Model Score
30.0
Vegas Spread
-10
Passing Yds
231
Rushing Yds
194
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.5
Michigan
Record 9-2 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
#18
Model Score
20.2
Vegas Spread
+10
Passing Yds
145
Rushing Yds
219
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UCLA |
W 48-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 34-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Penn State |
W 38-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Wisconsin |
W 34-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
W 34-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Northwestern |
W 24-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 21-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 31-20 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Washington |
W 24-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ USC |
L 13-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
22.9
Ohio State -2.1
Second Half
25.7
Ohio State -3.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 86%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 32.5 (-435)
86%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
43.5
Model Play Line
32.5
Model Projection
50.2
Edge
OVER by 17.7
OVER 86% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
36.4
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 58.5 (o)
22.3
10-1 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6
36.4
Raw: 25.0 • Adj: 36.4 • Mode: 31
-23
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 58.5 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
22.3
Raw: 27.3 • Adj: 22.3 • Mode: 28
+23
Model Performance
TTU
20.0% ATS · 40.0% O/U · 80.0% SU
WVU
80.0% ATS · 88.9% O/U · 80.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Red Raiders
-23
-2500
o53.5
Hit %
20%
80%
40%
Mountaineers
+23
+1100
u53.5
Hit %
80%
80%
89%
Model Picks
WVU +23 (-120)
71% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-115)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
WVU +27 (-180)
80% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-175)
73% Probability
Model Picks
West Virginia +23 (-120)
71% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-115)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
West Virginia +27 (-180)
80% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-175)
73% Probability
First Half
24.7
West Virginia -0.7
Second Half
27.6
West Virginia -1.8
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · West Virginia +27 (-180) · MEDIUM
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LOW
Spread
West Virginia +27 (-180)
+8.9
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 64.3%
- Model Prob
- 64.1%
- Market Implied
- 63.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.8
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +2.2
- Away Residual
- +8.2
- Raw Total
- 52.3
- Adjusted Total
- 58.6
Team Form & Stats
Texas Tech
Record 10-1 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 5-6
#6
Model Score
36.4
Vegas Spread
-23
Passing Yds
245
Rushing Yds
178
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.2
West Virginia
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
22.3
Vegas Spread
+23
Passing Yds
196
Rushing Yds
277
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 48-9 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs BYU |
W 29-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Kansas State |
W 43-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma State |
W 42-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
L 22-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
L 23-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Colorado |
W 29-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Houston |
W 45-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs TCU |
L 17-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UCF |
L 13-45 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
24.7
West Virginia -0.7
Second Half
27.6
West Virginia -1.8
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 64%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 49.5 (-175)
64%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
49.5
Model Projection
58.6
Edge
OVER by 9.1
OVER 64% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.2
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 46
Model: 45 (u)
16.6
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-6
28.2
Raw: 26.4 • Adj: 28.2 • Mode: 24
-13.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46 Model: 45 (u)
1-10 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
16.6
Raw: 22.6 • Adj: 16.6 • Mode: 21
+13.5
Model Performance
ISU
50.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 50.0% SU
OKST
33.3% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 77.8% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Cyclones
-13.5
-750
o46
Hit %
50%
50%
50%
Cowboys
+13.5
+470
u46
Hit %
33%
78%
33%
Model Picks
OKST +13.5 (-115)
55% Probability
UNDER 46 (-110)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
OKST +16.5 (-175)
64% Probability
UNDER 49.5 (-175)
71% Probability
Model Picks
Oklahoma State +13.5 (-115)
55% Probability
UNDER 46 (-110)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
Oklahoma State +16.5 (-175)
64% Probability
UNDER 49.5 (-175)
71% Probability
First Half
22.6
Iowa State -2.6
Second Half
26.4
Iowa State -1.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LOW
Spread
Oklahoma State +16.5 (-175)
+1.9
- Model Prob
- 63.2%
- Market Implied
- 63.6%
- Model Prob
- 63.0%
- Market Implied
- 63.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.3
- Total Delta
- -3.3
- Home Residual
- -5.7
- Away Residual
- +0.8
- Raw Total
- 49.0
- Adjusted Total
- 44.8
Team Form & Stats
Iowa State
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-6
Model Score
28.2
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
229
Rushing Yds
219
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.4
Oklahoma State
Record 1-10 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
16.6
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
254
Rushing Yds
193
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ TCU |
W 20-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arizona State |
L 19-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs BYU |
L 27-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Colorado |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 30-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Kansas State |
L 6-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Kansas |
L 21-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 0-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Cincinnati |
L 17-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Houston |
L 17-39 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
22.6
Iowa State -2.6
Second Half
26.4
Iowa State -1.2
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 63%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 63%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46
Model Play Line
49.5
Model Projection
44.8
Edge
UNDER by 4.7
UNDER 63% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
30.9
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 49.5
Model: 59.5 (o)
28.5
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
30.9
Raw: 33.8 • Adj: 30.9 • Mode: 34
-6.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 49.5 Model: 59.5 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 9-2
28.5
Raw: 27.0 • Adj: 28.5 • Mode: 24
+6.5
Model Performance
MIAMI
37.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
PITT
33.3% ATS · 85.7% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Hurricanes
-6.5
-250
o49.5
Hit %
38%
63%
50%
Panthers
+6.5
+205
u49.5
Hit %
33%
56%
86%
Model Picks
PITT +6.5 (-105)
59% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-115)
75% Probability
Safe Picks
PITT +16.5 (-343)
78% Probability
OVER 38.5 (-350)
89% Probability
Model Picks
Pittsburgh +6.5 (-105)
59% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-115)
75% Probability
Safe Picks
Pittsburgh +16.5 (-343)
78% Probability
OVER 38.5 (-350)
89% Probability
First Half
28.4
Miami -3.6
Second Half
32.4
Miami -3.2
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Total · OVER 38.5 (-350) · CONFIDENT
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Pittsburgh +16.5 (-343)
+4.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
- Model Prob
- 88.6%
- Market Implied
- 77.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.4
- Total Delta
- +4.5
- Home Residual
- +6.7
- Away Residual
- +0.1
- Raw Total
- 60.8
- Adjusted Total
- 59.4
Team Form & Stats
Miami
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
#14
Model Score
30.9
Vegas Spread
-6.5
Passing Yds
340
Rushing Yds
177
Pass TDs
2.8
Rush TDs
1.4
Pittsburgh
Record 8-3 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 9-2
Model Score
28.5
Vegas Spread
+6.5
Passing Yds
300
Rushing Yds
148
Pass TDs
2.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 41-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Syracuse |
W 38-10 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 20-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 42-7 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs Louisville |
L 21-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Notre Dame |
L 15-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Stanford |
W 35-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 53-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Syracuse |
W 30-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
W 34-31 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
28.4
Miami -3.6
Second Half
32.4
Miami -3.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 89%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 38.5 (-350)
89%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
49.5
Model Play Line
38.5
Model Projection
59.4
Edge
OVER by 20.9
OVER 89% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
16.6
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 50
Model: 50 (o)
33.6
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
16.6
Raw: 22.0 • Adj: 16.6 • Mode: 24
+17
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 50 Model: 50 (o)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
33.6
Raw: 27.1 • Adj: 33.6 • Mode: 21
-17
Model Performance
COLO
55.6% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 77.8% SU
KSU
62.5% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 37.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Buffaloes
+17
+650
o50
Hit %
56%
78%
44%
Wildcats
-17
-1150
u50
Hit %
63%
38%
63%
Model Picks
KSU -17 (-120)
50% Probability
OVER 50 (-115)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
KSU -13 (-185)
62% Probability
OVER 44.5 (-165)
57% Probability
Model Picks
Kansas State -17 (-120)
50% Probability
OVER 50 (-115)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Kansas State -13 (-185)
62% Probability
OVER 44.5 (-165)
57% Probability
First Half
22.7
Kansas State -2.3
Second Half
26.4
Kansas State -2.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Kansas State -13 (-185)
+0.0
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 64.9%
- Model Prob
- 69.5%
- Market Implied
- 62.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +0.9
- Home Residual
- +5.7
- Away Residual
- -4.4
- Raw Total
- 49.1
- Adjusted Total
- 50.2
Team Form & Stats
Colorado
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
16.6
Vegas Spread
+17
Passing Yds
233
Rushing Yds
158
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.0
Kansas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
33.6
Vegas Spread
-17
Passing Yds
262
Rushing Yds
213
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ West Virginia |
L 22-29 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
L 17-52 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Utah |
L 7-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Iowa State |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ TCU |
L 21-35 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 14-6 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Texas Tech |
L 20-43 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Kansas |
W 42-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs TCU |
W 41-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Baylor |
L 34-35 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
22.7
Kansas State -2.3
Second Half
26.4
Kansas State -2.8
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 70%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
50
Model Play Line
44.5
Model Projection
50.2
Edge
OVER by 5.7
OVER 70% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
16.2
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 48.5 (o)
32.1
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
16.2
Raw: 24.5 • Adj: 16.2 • Mode: 24
+17.5
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 48.5 (o)
10-1 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6
32.1
Raw: 26.8 • Adj: 32.1 • Mode: 21
-17.5
Model Performance
UCF
25.0% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
BYU
55.6% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 88.9% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Knights
+17.5
+700
o46.5
Hit %
25%
63%
38%
Cougars
-17.5
-1100
u46.5
Hit %
56%
89%
44%
Model Picks
UCF +17.5 (-108)
54% Probability
OVER 46.5 (-115)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
BYU -7.5 (-336)
69% Probability
OVER 36.5 (-394)
78% Probability
Model Picks
UCF +17.5 (-108)
54% Probability
OVER 46.5 (-115)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
BYU -7.5 (-336)
69% Probability
OVER 36.5 (-394)
78% Probability
Second Half
27.7
BYU -0.9
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- -1.3
- Home Residual
- +3.9
- Away Residual
- -5.9
- Raw Total
- 51.3
- Adjusted Total
- 48.3
Team Form & Stats
UCF
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
16.2
Vegas Spread
+17.5
Passing Yds
166
Rushing Yds
280
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.9
BYU
Record 10-1 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 5-6
#11
Model Score
32.1
Vegas Spread
-17.5
Passing Yds
269
Rushing Yds
210
Pass TDs
2.2
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 9-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
vs Houston |
L 27-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Baylor |
L 3-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs West Virginia |
W 45-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 11-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs TCU |
W 44-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 7-29 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Iowa State |
W 41-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Utah |
W 24-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Arizona |
W 33-27 |
✓ |
o |
Second Half
27.7
BYU -0.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
36.5
Model Projection
48.3
Edge
OVER by 11.8
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.2
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 50 (u)
27.9
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
22.2
Raw: 17.2 • Adj: 22.2 • Mode: 14
+4
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 50 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
27.9
Raw: 28.5 • Adj: 27.9 • Mode: 31
-4
Model Performance
UTEP
87.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
DEL
66.7% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Miners
+4
+164
o55.5
Hit %
88%
75%
50%
Blue Hens
-4
-198
u55.5
Hit %
67%
56%
56%
Model Picks
DEL -4 (-108)
54% Probability
UNDER 55.5 (-112)
66% Probability
Safe Picks
DEL +6 (-430)
76% Probability
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
87% Probability
Model Picks
Delaware -4 (-108)
54% Probability
UNDER 55.5 (-112)
66% Probability
Safe Picks
Delaware +6 (-430)
76% Probability
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
87% Probability
First Half
20.8
Delaware -4.8
Second Half
24.9
Delaware -6.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Delaware +6 (-430)
+1.6
- Model Prob
- 58.1%
- Market Implied
- 81.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.5
- Total Delta
- -0.4
- Home Residual
- -3.0
- Away Residual
- +2.5
- Raw Total
- 45.7
- Adjusted Total
- 50.1
Team Form & Stats
UTEP
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
22.2
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
177
Rushing Yds
181
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.0
Delaware
Record 5-6 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
27.9
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
248
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
L 24-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 27-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
@ Kennesaw State |
L 20-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
W 35-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
vs Liberty |
L 8-19 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
L 23-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 25-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Liberty |
L 30-59 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Middle Tennessee |
W 31-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
@ Jacksonville State |
L 25-38 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
20.8
Delaware -4.8
Second Half
24.9
Delaware -6.7
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 58%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
50.1
Edge
UNDER by 15.4
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.8
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 51.5
Model: 47.5 (u)
17.8
Florida International
-425
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
29.8
Raw: 25.6 • Adj: 29.8 • Mode: 24
-10.5
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 47.5 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 7-4
17.8
Raw: 16.4 • Adj: 17.8 • Mode: 14
+10.5
Model Performance
FIU
75.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
SHSU
62.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Golden Panthers
-10.5
-425
o51.5
Hit %
75%
75%
50%
Bearkats
+10.5
+330
u51.5
Hit %
63%
63%
50%
Model Picks
FIU -10.5 (-112)
54% Probability
UNDER 51.5 (-102)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
Sam Houston +19.5 (-284)
70% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-313)
88% Probability
Model Picks
Florida International -10.5 (-112)
54% Probability
UNDER 51.5 (-102)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
Sam Houston +19.5 (-284)
70% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-313)
88% Probability
First Half
19.6
Florida International -4.4
Second Half
22.4
Florida International -4.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Sam Houston +19.5 (-284)
-1.5
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 74.0%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.7
- Total Delta
- +1.1
- Home Residual
- -1.2
- Away Residual
- +3.1
- Raw Total
- 42.0
- Adjusted Total
- 47.6
Team Form & Stats
Florida International
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
29.8
Vegas Spread
-10.5
Passing Yds
224
Rushing Yds
189
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.3
Sam Houston
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
17.8
Vegas Spread
+10.5
Passing Yds
156
Rushing Yds
216
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
Florida International
Last 5
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Liberty |
W 34-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 56-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 29, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
L 26-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 10-51 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 26-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
W 21-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
@ Louisiana Tech |
L 14-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
L 17-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 27-29 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
19.6
Florida International -4.4
Second Half
22.4
Florida International -4.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
47.6
Edge
UNDER by 11.9
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
26.9
Nov 29 • 1:30PM ET
OU 63.5
Model: 63 (u)
35.9
5-6 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 7-4
26.9
Raw: 24.2 • Adj: 26.9 • Mode: 24
+10
Nov 29 • 1:30PM ET
VS
O/U 63.5 Model: 63 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
35.9
Raw: 22.6 • Adj: 35.9 • Mode: 17
-10
Model Performance
GASO
42.9% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
MRSH
50.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Eagles
+10
+330
o63.5
Hit %
43%
63%
50%
Thundering Herd
-10
-425
u63.5
Hit %
50%
50%
63%
Model Picks
GASO +10 (-108)
52% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-112)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Marshall -1 (-409)
66% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-311)
89% Probability
Model Picks
Georgia Southern +10 (-108)
52% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-112)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Marshall -1 (-409)
66% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-311)
89% Probability
First Half
22.4
Georgia Southern -0.4
Second Half
24.3
Georgia Southern -1.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Marshall -1 (-409)
-0.9
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.9
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +9.5
- Away Residual
- +0.2
- Raw Total
- 46.8
- Adjusted Total
- 62.8
Team Form & Stats
Georgia Southern
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
26.9
Vegas Spread
+10
Passing Yds
231
Rushing Yds
192
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.2
Marshall
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
35.9
Vegas Spread
-10
Passing Yds
198
Rushing Yds
198
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Coastal Carolina |
W 45-40 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
@ App State |
W 25-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arkansas State |
L 24-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Georgia State |
W 41-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 35-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 30-18 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs James Madison |
L 23-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 27-44 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 40-37 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
W 48-24 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
22.4
Georgia Southern -0.4
Second Half
24.3
Georgia Southern -1.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
63.5
Model Play Line
53.5
Model Projection
62.8
Edge
OVER by 9.3
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.1
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 47.5
Model: 47 (u)
26.0
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
21.1
Raw: 18.3 • Adj: 21.1 • Mode: 17
+2.5
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 47.5 Model: 47 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
26.0
Raw: 26.1 • Adj: 26.0 • Mode: 14
-2.5
Model Performance
LT
77.8% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 88.9% SU
MOST
50.0% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Bulldogs
+2.5
+110
o47.5
Hit %
78%
89%
44%
Bears
-2.5
-130
u47.5
Hit %
50%
63%
38%
Model Picks
MOST -2.5 (-108)
56% Probability
UNDER 47.5 (-108)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
MOST +7.5 (-438)
77% Probability
OVER 34.5 (-385)
65% Probability
Model Picks
Missouri State -2.5 (-108)
56% Probability
UNDER 47.5 (-108)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Missouri State +7.5 (-438)
77% Probability
OVER 34.5 (-385)
65% Probability
First Half
20.8
Missouri State -3.0
Second Half
23.7
Missouri State -4.9
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
Missouri State +7.5 (-438)
+2.4
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 81.4%
- Model Prob
- 65.3%
- Market Implied
- 79.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.6
- Total Delta
- +1.6
- Home Residual
- —
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 44.4
- Adjusted Total
- 47.0
Team Form & Stats
Louisiana Tech
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
21.1
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
172
Rushing Yds
185
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
0.9
Missouri State
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
26.0
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
214
Rushing Yds
219
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Washington State |
L 3-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
L 24-25 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
W 55-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
vs Western Kentucky |
L 27-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Kennesaw State |
L 7-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
W 38-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Liberty |
W 21-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 29, 2025 |
vs Florida International |
W 28-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
@ New Mexico State |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 22-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.8
Missouri State -3.0
Second Half
23.7
Missouri State -4.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 65%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
47.5
Model Play Line
34.5
Model Projection
47.0
Edge
OVER by 12.5
OVER 65% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
27.6
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 55
Model: 57.5 (o)
29.8
8-3 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6
27.6
Raw: 24.4 • Adj: 27.6 • Mode: 17
-2.5
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 55 Model: 57.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
29.8
Raw: 31.5 • Adj: 29.8 • Mode: 35
+2.5
Model Performance
WKU
28.6% ATS · 0.0% O/U · 57.1% SU
JVST
87.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 87.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Hilltoppers
-2.5
-125
o55
Hit %
29%
57%
0%
Gamecocks
+2.5
+105
u55
Hit %
88%
88%
75%
Model Picks
JVST +2.5 (-105)
60% Probability
OVER 55 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
JVST +12.5 (-467)
78% Probability
OVER 48.5 (-247)
88% Probability
Model Picks
Jacksonville State +2.5 (-105)
60% Probability
OVER 55 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Jacksonville State +12.5 (-467)
78% Probability
OVER 48.5 (-247)
88% Probability
First Half
26.5
Jacksonville State -3.5
Second Half
29.4
Jacksonville State -3.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Jacksonville State +12.5 (-467)
+0.3
- Model Prob
- 77.5%
- Market Implied
- 82.4%
- Model Prob
- 72.2%
- Market Implied
- 71.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.4
- Total Delta
- +1.8
- Home Residual
- +0.3
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 55.8
- Adjusted Total
- 57.4
Team Form & Stats
Western Kentucky
Record 8-3 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
27.6
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
245
Rushing Yds
174
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.1
Jacksonville State
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
29.8
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
200
Rushing Yds
289
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
2.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Middle Tennessee |
W 42-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs New Mexico State |
W 35-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
@ Louisiana Tech |
W 28-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 3, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
W 27-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
W 27-22 |
✓ |
u |
Jacksonville State
Last 5
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
W 35-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ UTEP |
W 30-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 38-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
W 29-27 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
26.5
Jacksonville State -3.5
Second Half
29.4
Jacksonville State -3.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 72%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55
Model Play Line
48.5
Model Projection
57.4
Edge
OVER by 8.9
OVER 72% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
16.4
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 58.5
Model: 53 (u)
36.4
1-10 • ATS: 1-10 • O/U: 6-5
16.4
Raw: 20.5 • Adj: 16.4 • Mode: 24
+27.5
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 53 (u)
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
36.4
Raw: 28.9 • Adj: 36.4 • Mode: 21
-27.5
Model Performance
GAST
62.5% ATS · 25.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
ODU
25.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Panthers
+27.5
+2200
o58.5
Hit %
63%
75%
25%
Monarchs
-27.5
-8000
u58.5
Hit %
25%
63%
63%
Model Picks
GAST +27.5 (-112)
67% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-105)
66% Probability
Safe Picks
GAST +36.5 (-313)
84% Probability
UNDER 68.5 (-317)
85% Probability
Model Picks
Georgia State +27.5 (-112)
67% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-105)
66% Probability
Safe Picks
Georgia State +36.5 (-313)
84% Probability
UNDER 68.5 (-317)
85% Probability
First Half
24.0
Old Dominion -4.0
Second Half
25.4
Old Dominion -4.4
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Georgia State +36.5 (-313) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Georgia State +36.5 (-313)
+7.6
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.0
- Total Delta
- -0.9
- Home Residual
- +0.8
- Away Residual
- -2.2
- Raw Total
- 49.4
- Adjusted Total
- 52.8
Team Form & Stats
Georgia State
Record 1-10 · ATS 1-10 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
16.4
Vegas Spread
+27.5
Passing Yds
230
Rushing Yds
181
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.1
Old Dominion
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
36.4
Vegas Spread
-27.5
Passing Yds
205
Rushing Yds
241
Pass TDs
2.1
Rush TDs
1.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Marshall |
L 18-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 27-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
vs South Alabama |
L 31-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
L 24-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs App State |
L 20-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
vs Troy |
W 33-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 31-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs App State |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 27-63 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
L 24-48 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
24.0
Old Dominion -4.0
Second Half
25.4
Old Dominion -4.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Georgia State +36.5 (-313)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58.5
Model Play Line
68.5
Model Projection
52.8
Edge
UNDER by 15.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
27.7
Nov 29 • 2:30PM ET
OU 54
Model: 51 (u)
23.4
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
27.7
Raw: 22.5 • Adj: 27.7 • Mode: 24
+0
Nov 29 • 2:30PM ET
VS
O/U 54 Model: 51 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
23.4
Raw: 29.5 • Adj: 23.4 • Mode: 21
+0
Model Performance
ARST
75.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
APP
50.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Red Wolves
+0
-112
o54
Hit %
75%
75%
50%
Mountaineers
+0
-108
u54
Hit %
50%
50%
50%
Model Picks
PIC PK (-102)
60% Probability
UNDER 54 (-108)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
PIC +10 (-310)
78% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-297)
77% Probability
Model Picks
Pick PK (-102)
60% Probability
UNDER 54 (-108)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
Pick +10 (-310)
78% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-297)
77% Probability
First Half
24.4
App State -3.4
Second Half
27.5
App State -3.5
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 75.6%
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 74.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.6
- Total Delta
- -1.4
- Home Residual
- -1.5
- Away Residual
- -0.7
- Raw Total
- 52.0
- Adjusted Total
- 51.1
Team Form & Stats
Arkansas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
27.7
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
272
Rushing Yds
183
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.2
App State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
23.4
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
288
Rushing Yds
221
Pass TDs
2.4
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 21-27 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Troy |
W 23-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Georgia Southern |
W 34-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 31-30 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
L 16-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 10-58 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
vs Georgia Southern |
L 23-25 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Coastal Carolina |
L 37-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 41-20 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
24.4
App State -3.4
Second Half
27.5
App State -3.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 77%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
54
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
51.1
Edge
UNDER by 13.4
UNDER 77% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.1
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 50 (u)
24.8
2-9 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
25.1
Raw: 20.8 • Adj: 25.1 • Mode: 24
+3.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 50 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
24.8
Raw: 20.1 • Adj: 24.8 • Mode: 17
-3.5
Model Performance
MTSU
33.3% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 88.9% SU
NMSU
62.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 87.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Blue Raiders
+3.5
+142
o52.5
Hit %
33%
89%
44%
Aggies
-3.5
-170
u52.5
Hit %
63%
88%
75%
Model Picks
MTSU +3.5 (-108)
60% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
New Mexico State +6.5 (-439)
66% Probability
UNDER 62.5 (-309)
83% Probability
Model Picks
Middle Tennessee +3.5 (-108)
60% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
New Mexico State +6.5 (-439)
66% Probability
UNDER 62.5 (-309)
83% Probability
First Half
19.3
New Mexico State -0.1
Second Half
21.4
Middle Tennessee -0.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
New Mexico State +6.5 (-439)
-3.2
- Model Prob
- 63.2%
- Market Implied
- 81.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.5
- Total Delta
- +2.8
- Home Residual
- +1.8
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 40.9
- Adjusted Total
- 49.9
Team Form & Stats
Middle Tennessee
Record 2-9 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.1
Vegas Spread
+3.5
Passing Yds
237
Rushing Yds
144
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
0.9
New Mexico State
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
24.8
Vegas Spread
-3.5
Passing Yds
155
Rushing Yds
213
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Western Kentucky |
L 26-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida International |
L 30-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
L 28-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 20-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
L 9-42 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Western Kentucky |
L 16-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 2, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
W 37-10 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.3
New Mexico State -0.1
Second Half
21.4
Middle Tennessee -0.8
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 63%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
49.9
Edge
UNDER by 12.6
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.4
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 43 (u)
19.5
1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3
23.4
Raw: 22.2 • Adj: 23.4 • Mode: 24
-3
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 43 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-6-1 • O/U: 6-5
19.5
Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 19.5 • Mode: 14
+3
Model Performance
BC
60.0% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 70.0% SU
SYR
50.0% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Eagles
-3
-155
o53.5
Hit %
60%
70%
44%
Orange
+3
+130
u53.5
Hit %
50%
63%
38%
Model Picks
BC -3 (-115)
52% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-110)
77% Probability
Safe Picks
Syracuse +12.5 (-439)
70% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-329)
92% Probability
Model Picks
Boston College -3 (-115)
52% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-110)
77% Probability
Safe Picks
Syracuse +12.5 (-439)
70% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-329)
92% Probability
First Half
20.4
Syracuse -0.2
Second Half
24.8
Syracuse -0.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Syracuse +12.5 (-439)
-0.9
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 81.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.8
- Total Delta
- -6.0
- Home Residual
- -10.1
- Away Residual
- -3.9
- Raw Total
- 45.2
- Adjusted Total
- 42.9
Team Form & Stats
Boston College
Record 1-10 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
23.4
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
213
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.3
Syracuse
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-6-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.5
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
259
Rushing Yds
160
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
L 34-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs SMU |
L 13-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Notre Dame |
L 10-25 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
L 24-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs UConn |
L 23-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 10-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
L 10-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Georgia Tech |
L 16-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 13-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 18-31 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
20.4
Syracuse -0.2
Second Half
24.8
Syracuse -0.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
63.5
Model Projection
42.9
Edge
UNDER by 20.6
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
15.8
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 47
Model: 43.5 (u)
27.8
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
15.8
Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 15.8 • Mode: 17
+8.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 47 Model: 43.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4
27.8
Raw: 23.5 • Adj: 27.8 • Mode: 28
-8.5
Model Performance
ULM
55.6% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 77.8% SU
ULL
50.0% ATS · 42.9% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Warhawks
+8.5
+340
o47
Hit %
56%
78%
44%
Ragin' Cajuns
-8.5
-440
u47
Hit %
50%
50%
43%
Model Picks
ULL -8.5 (-105)
58% Probability
UNDER 47 (-105)
60% Probability
Safe Picks
ULL +1.5 (-542)
78% Probability
UNDER 56.5 (-379)
86% Probability
Model Picks
Louisiana -8.5 (-105)
58% Probability
UNDER 47 (-105)
60% Probability
Safe Picks
Louisiana +1.5 (-542)
78% Probability
UNDER 56.5 (-379)
86% Probability
First Half
19.0
Louisiana -2.6
Second Half
22.4
Louisiana -3.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Louisiana +1.5 (-542)
+3.5
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 84.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 79.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.8
- Total Delta
- -0.0
- Home Residual
- +4.5
- Away Residual
- -4.3
- Raw Total
- 41.4
- Adjusted Total
- 43.5
Team Form & Stats
UL Monroe
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
15.8
Vegas Spread
+8.5
Passing Yds
135
Rushing Yds
234
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.3
Louisiana
Record 5-6 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
27.8
Vegas Spread
-8.5
Passing Yds
178
Rushing Yds
240
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs South Alabama |
L 14-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
L 6-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Southern Miss |
L 21-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Troy |
L 14-37 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 8-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 42-39 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ South Alabama |
W 31-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Troy |
L 23-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 10-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 14-24 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.0
Louisiana -2.6
Second Half
22.4
Louisiana -3.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
47
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
43.5
Edge
UNDER by 13.0
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.4
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 62.5
Model: 63.5 (o)
34.2
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
29.4
Raw: 29.1 • Adj: 29.4 • Mode: 31
+9
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 62.5 Model: 63.5 (o)
5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
34.2
Raw: 31.3 • Adj: 34.2 • Mode: 28
-9
Model Performance
USA
62.5% ATS · 42.9% O/U · 62.5% SU
TXST
62.5% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 37.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Jaguars
+9
+275
o62.5
Hit %
63%
63%
43%
Bobcats
-9
-345
u62.5
Hit %
63%
38%
38%
Model Picks
USA +9 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 62.5 (-115)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
Texas State -2 (-325)
57% Probability
OVER 52.5 (-358)
77% Probability
Model Picks
South Alabama +9 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 62.5 (-115)
53% Probability
Safe Picks
Texas State -2 (-325)
57% Probability
OVER 52.5 (-358)
77% Probability
First Half
28.5
Texas State -2.1
Second Half
31.9
Texas State -0.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: LEAN · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Texas State -2 (-325)
-4.1
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.5%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.7
- Total Delta
- +2.6
- Home Residual
- +2.6
- Away Residual
- +1.6
- Raw Total
- 60.5
- Adjusted Total
- 63.6
Team Form & Stats
South Alabama
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
29.4
Vegas Spread
+9
Passing Yds
218
Rushing Yds
250
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.8
Texas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
34.2
Vegas Spread
-9
Passing Yds
292
Rushing Yds
197
Pass TDs
2.5
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 26-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
L 22-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 38-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Troy |
L 24-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
L 22-36 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Southern Miss |
W 41-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Louisiana |
L 39-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
vs James Madison |
L 20-52 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
L 37-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Troy |
L 41-48 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
28.5
Texas State -2.1
Second Half
31.9
Texas State -0.1
Spread Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
62.5
Model Play Line
52.5
Model Projection
63.6
Edge
OVER by 11.1
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.4
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 58.5
Model: 53.5 (u)
30.0
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
23.4
Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 23.4 • Mode: 21
+8.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 53.5 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
30.0
Raw: 26.3 • Adj: 30.0 • Mode: 31
-8.5
Model Performance
UAB
44.4% ATS · 22.2% O/U · 66.7% SU
TLSA
44.4% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Blazers
+8.5
+260
o58.5
Hit %
44%
67%
22%
Golden Hurricane
-8.5
-325
u58.5
Hit %
44%
75%
63%
Model Picks
UAB +8.5 (-110)
54% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-110)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
Tulsa +1.5 (-389)
69% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-285)
89% Probability
Model Picks
UAB +8.5 (-110)
54% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-110)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
Tulsa +1.5 (-389)
69% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-285)
89% Probability
First Half
23.6
Tulsa -1.2
Second Half
26.4
Tulsa -1.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 79.6%
- Model Prob
- 70.7%
- Market Implied
- 74.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.4
- Total Delta
- -0.4
- Home Residual
- +1.7
- Away Residual
- -2.3
- Raw Total
- 50.0
- Adjusted Total
- 53.4
Team Form & Stats
UAB
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
23.4
Vegas Spread
+8.5
Passing Yds
266
Rushing Yds
184
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.1
Tulsa
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
30.0
Vegas Spread
-8.5
Passing Yds
247
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs North Texas |
L 24-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Rice |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 19-38 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
W 31-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Florida Atlantic |
L 33-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Oregon State |
W 31-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Temple |
L 37-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
@ East Carolina |
L 27-41 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
L 7-45 |
✗ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
vs Tulane |
L 14-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
23.6
Tulsa -1.2
Second Half
26.4
Tulsa -1.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 71%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58.5
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
53.4
Edge
UNDER by 11.1
UNDER 71% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
14.8
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 38.5
Model: 35.5 (u)
20.8
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 2-9
14.8
Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 14.8 • Mode: 17
-1.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 38.5 Model: 35.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
20.8
Raw: 22.4 • Adj: 20.8 • Mode: 21
+1.5
Model Performance
WIS
55.6% ATS · 22.2% O/U · 77.8% SU
MINN
62.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Badgers
-1.5
-135
o38.5
Hit %
56%
78%
22%
Golden Gophers
+1.5
+114
u38.5
Hit %
63%
75%
75%
Model Picks
WIS -1.5 (-108)
32% Probability
UNDER 38.5 (-112)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
Minnesota +10.5 (-429)
86% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-351)
83% Probability
Model Picks
Wisconsin -1.5 (-108)
32% Probability
UNDER 38.5 (-112)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
Minnesota +10.5 (-429)
86% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-351)
83% Probability
First Half
19.3
Minnesota -2.1
Second Half
20.7
Minnesota -2.7
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Minnesota +10.5 (-429) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Minnesota +10.5 (-429)
-4.5
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 81.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.0
- Total Delta
- -4.0
- Home Residual
- -0.7
- Away Residual
- -5.4
- Raw Total
- 40.1
- Adjusted Total
- 35.7
Team Form & Stats
Wisconsin
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 2-9
Model Score
14.8
Vegas Spread
-1.5
Passing Yds
198
Rushing Yds
158
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Minnesota
Record 6-5 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
20.8
Vegas Spread
+1.5
Passing Yds
249
Rushing Yds
162
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 7-31 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Washington |
W 13-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Oregon |
L 7-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Ohio State |
L 0-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Iowa |
L 0-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
@ Oregon |
L 13-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Michigan State |
W 23-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
L 3-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
W 24-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 27-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
19.3
Minnesota -2.1
Second Half
20.7
Minnesota -2.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Minnesota +10.5 (-429)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
38.5
Model Play Line
48.5
Model Projection
35.7
Edge
UNDER by 12.8
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.2
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 50.5
Model: 55 (o)
33.8
5-5 • ATS: 4-6 • O/U: 3-7
21.2
Raw: 24.9 • Adj: 21.2 • Mode: 21
+7.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 55 (o)
6-5 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 8-3
33.8
Raw: 31.3 • Adj: 33.8 • Mode: 31
-7.5
Model Performance
ARMY
62.5% ATS · 25.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
UTSA
62.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 87.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Black Knights
+7.5
+245
o50.5
Hit %
63%
63%
25%
Roadrunners
-7.5
-305
u50.5
Hit %
63%
88%
75%
Model Picks
UTSA -7.5 (-115)
61% Probability
OVER 50.5 (-115)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
UTSA +2.5 (-408)
80% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-420)
83% Probability
Model Picks
UTSA -7.5 (-115)
61% Probability
OVER 50.5 (-115)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
UTSA +2.5 (-408)
80% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-420)
83% Probability
First Half
26.3
UTSA -3.5
Second Half
29.9
UTSA -2.9
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · UTSA +2.5 (-408) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 80.3%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 80.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +0.9
- Home Residual
- +6.8
- Away Residual
- -5.3
- Raw Total
- 56.2
- Adjusted Total
- 54.9
Team Form & Stats
Army
Record 5-5 · ATS 4-6 · O/U 3-7
Model Score
21.2
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
166
Rushing Yds
254
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
2.0
UTSA
Record 6-5 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
33.8
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
313
Rushing Yds
177
Pass TDs
2.7
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Temple |
W 14-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
W 20-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 17-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Charlotte |
W 24-7 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ UAB |
W 31-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Charlotte |
W 28-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
@ South Florida |
L 23-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Tulane |
W 48-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
L 17-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Rice |
W 61-13 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
26.3
UTSA -3.5
Second Half
29.9
UTSA -2.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 40.5 (-420)
79%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
50.5
Model Play Line
40.5
Model Projection
54.9
Edge
OVER by 14.4
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.6
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 55
Model: 53.5 (u)
27.7
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-4
25.6
Raw: 25.2 • Adj: 25.6 • Mode: 24
-4
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 55 Model: 53.5 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 8-3
27.7
Raw: 28.4 • Adj: 27.7 • Mode: 31
+4
Model Performance
MIZ
25.0% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 88.9% SU
ARK
44.4% ATS · 77.8% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
-4
-192
o55
Hit %
25%
89%
56%
Razorbacks
+4
+160
u55
Hit %
44%
56%
78%
Model Picks
ARK +4 (-112)
64% Probability
UNDER 55 (-108)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
ARK +13 (-327)
81% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-292)
86% Probability
Model Picks
Arkansas +4 (-112)
64% Probability
UNDER 55 (-108)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
Arkansas +13 (-327)
81% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-292)
86% Probability
First Half
24.7
Arkansas -1.7
Second Half
28.9
Arkansas -1.5
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Arkansas +13 (-327) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Arkansas +13 (-327)
+1.9
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 74.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.0
- Total Delta
- -0.8
- Home Residual
- +0.2
- Away Residual
- -1.4
- Raw Total
- 53.6
- Adjusted Total
- 53.3
Team Form & Stats
Missouri
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-4
#23
Model Score
25.6
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
210
Rushing Yds
218
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.4
Arkansas
Record 2-9 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
27.7
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
217
Rushing Yds
226
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.8
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
W 49-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 17-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 10-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Auburn |
W 23-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Alabama |
L 24-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ LSU |
L 22-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
L 35-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Auburn |
L 24-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 42-45 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
24.7
Arkansas -1.7
Second Half
28.9
Arkansas -1.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Arkansas +13 (-327)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
53.3
Edge
UNDER by 11.2
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 56 (o)
30.3
8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5
25.5
Raw: 19.3 • Adj: 25.5 • Mode: 17
+1
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 56 (o)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3
30.3
Raw: 28.0 • Adj: 30.3 • Mode: 24
-1
Model Performance
WAKE
25.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 50.0% SU
DUKE
44.4% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 33.3% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Demon Deacons
+1
+110
o53.5
Hit %
25%
50%
63%
Blue Devils
-1
-130
u53.5
Hit %
44%
33%
56%
Model Picks
DUKE -1 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-115)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
DUKE +9 (-483)
78% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-325)
81% Probability
Model Picks
Duke -1 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-115)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Duke +9 (-483)
78% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-325)
81% Probability
First Half
22.6
Duke -4.8
Second Half
24.8
Duke -3.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 82.8%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.5
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +4.2
- Away Residual
- +6.3
- Raw Total
- 47.3
- Adjusted Total
- 55.8
Team Form & Stats
Wake Forest
Record 8-3 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
25.5
Vegas Spread
+1
Passing Yds
185
Rushing Yds
199
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.2
Duke
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
30.3
Vegas Spread
-1
Passing Yds
281
Rushing Yds
159
Pass TDs
2.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
W 28-12 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Virginia |
W 16-9 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
L 7-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs SMU |
W 13-12 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
W 39-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 17-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 34-37 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
W 46-45 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
L 18-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ California |
W 45-21 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
22.6
Duke -4.8
Second Half
24.8
Duke -3.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
43.5
Model Projection
55.8
Edge
OVER by 12.3
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
15.7
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 36.5
Model: 38 (o)
22.2
7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 3-8
15.7
Raw: 21.0 • Adj: 15.7 • Mode: 17
+10.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 36.5 Model: 38 (o)
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 2-9
22.2
Raw: 21.4 • Adj: 22.2 • Mode: 24
-10.5
Model Performance
LSU
62.5% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
OKLA
33.3% ATS · 22.2% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
+10.5
+360
o36.5
Hit %
63%
63%
63%
Sooners
-10.5
-470
u36.5
Hit %
33%
56%
22%
Model Picks
LSU +10.5 (-112)
60% Probability
OVER 36.5 (-115)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
Oklahoma -1.5 (-459)
62% Probability
OVER 25.5 (-460)
71% Probability
Model Picks
LSU +10.5 (-112)
60% Probability
OVER 36.5 (-115)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
Oklahoma -1.5 (-459)
62% Probability
OVER 25.5 (-460)
71% Probability
First Half
19.7
Oklahoma -0.7
Second Half
22.9
LSU -0.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Oklahoma -1.5 (-459)
-4.0
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 82.1%
- Model Prob
- 70.9%
- Market Implied
- 82.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.3
- Total Delta
- -2.2
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- -3.6
- Raw Total
- 42.5
- Adjusted Total
- 37.9
Team Form & Stats
LSU
Record 7-4 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
15.7
Vegas Spread
+10.5
Passing Yds
242
Rushing Yds
173
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.0
Oklahoma
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 2-9
#8
Model Score
22.2
Vegas Spread
-10.5
Passing Yds
162
Rushing Yds
227
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Arkansas |
W 23-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 9-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 25-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 24-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs South Carolina |
W 20-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
W 23-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
W 33-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Ole Miss |
L 26-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ South Carolina |
W 26-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas |
L 6-23 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
19.7
Oklahoma -0.7
Second Half
22.9
LSU -0.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 71%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
36.5
Model Play Line
25.5
Model Projection
37.9
Edge
OVER by 12.4
OVER 71% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
30.4
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 51.5
Model: 56 (o)
25.7
10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
30.4
Raw: 27.3 • Adj: 30.4 • Mode: 31
-7
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 56 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
25.7
Raw: 25.4 • Adj: 25.7 • Mode: 17
+7
Model Performance
ORE
66.7% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 77.8% SU
WASH
12.5% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Ducks
-7
-278
o51.5
Hit %
67%
78%
56%
Huskies
+7
+225
u51.5
Hit %
13%
75%
38%
Model Picks
WASH +7 (-110)
55% Probability
OVER 51.5 (-105)
63% Probability
Safe Picks
WASH +16.5 (-311)
74% Probability
OVER 41.5 (-320)
84% Probability
Model Picks
Washington +7 (-110)
55% Probability
OVER 51.5 (-105)
63% Probability
Safe Picks
Washington +16.5 (-311)
74% Probability
OVER 41.5 (-320)
84% Probability
First Half
24.6
Oregon -1.0
Second Half
28.2
Oregon -1.0
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Total · OVER 41.5 (-320) · CONFIDENT
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Washington +16.5 (-311)
+2.4
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.7%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.5
- Total Delta
- +3.6
- Home Residual
- +1.6
- Away Residual
- +4.0
- Raw Total
- 52.8
- Adjusted Total
- 56.1
Team Form & Stats
Oregon
Record 10-1 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
#6
Model Score
30.4
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
227
Rushing Yds
201
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.7
Washington
Record 8-3 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
25.7
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
225
Rushing Yds
219
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
vs Minnesota |
W 42-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
W 18-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Wisconsin |
W 21-7 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Rutgers |
W 56-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 20-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 49-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Wisconsin |
L 10-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Illinois |
W 42-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Michigan |
L 7-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
vs Rutgers |
W 38-19 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
24.6
Oregon -1.0
Second Half
28.2
Oregon -1.0
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 41.5 (-320)
79%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51.5
Model Play Line
41.5
Model Projection
56.1
Edge
OVER by 14.6
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.4
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 49.5 (u)
19.9
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 7-4
29.4
Raw: 27.5 • Adj: 29.4 • Mode: 24
-13.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 49.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
19.9
Raw: 22.9 • Adj: 19.9 • Mode: 17
+13.5
Model Performance
PSU
87.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
RUTG
25.0% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Nittany Lions
-13.5
-600
o55.5
Hit %
88%
63%
75%
Scarlet Knights
+13.5
+440
u55.5
Hit %
25%
75%
75%
Model Picks
RUTG +13.5 (-110)
60% Probability
UNDER 55.5 (-105)
67% Probability
Safe Picks
RUTG +23 (-313)
81% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-287)
89% Probability
Model Picks
Rutgers +13.5 (-110)
60% Probability
UNDER 55.5 (-105)
67% Probability
Safe Picks
Rutgers +23 (-313)
81% Probability
UNDER 64.5 (-287)
89% Probability
First Half
23.5
Penn State -2.1
Second Half
26.8
Penn State -2.4
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Rutgers +23 (-313) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Rutgers +23 (-313)
+4.0
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
- Model Prob
- 77.2%
- Market Implied
- 74.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.9
- Total Delta
- -3.0
- Home Residual
- -3.8
- Away Residual
- -0.8
- Raw Total
- 50.4
- Adjusted Total
- 49.3
Team Form & Stats
Penn State
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
29.4
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
199
Rushing Yds
228
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.7
Rutgers
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.9
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
201
Rushing Yds
206
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 28-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 24-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Ohio State |
L 14-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
L 24-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Northwestern |
L 21-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 35-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
L 13-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 27-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Oregon |
L 10-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ Washington |
L 19-38 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
23.5
Penn State -2.1
Second Half
26.8
Penn State -2.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 77%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Rutgers +23 (-313)
77%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
49.3
Edge
UNDER by 15.2
UNDER 77% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
33.3
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 66.5
Model: 67 (o)
33.5
9-2 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 7-4
33.3
Raw: 25.1 • Adj: 33.3 • Mode: 24
+3
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 66.5 Model: 67 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
33.5
Raw: 27.6 • Adj: 33.5 • Mode: 25
-3
Model Performance
VAN
55.6% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 77.8% SU
TENN
62.5% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Commodores
+3
+114
o66.5
Hit %
56%
78%
56%
Volunteers
-3
-135
u66.5
Hit %
63%
63%
75%
Model Picks
VAN +3 (-115)
57% Probability
OVER 66.5 (-105)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Tennessee +6 (-334)
65% Probability
OVER 56.5 (-301)
77% Probability
Model Picks
Vanderbilt +3 (-115)
57% Probability
OVER 66.5 (-105)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Tennessee +6 (-334)
65% Probability
OVER 56.5 (-301)
77% Probability
First Half
24.6
Tennessee -1.4
Second Half
28.0
Tennessee -1.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Tennessee +6 (-334)
-2.8
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 77.0%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -2.4
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +4.0
- Away Residual
- +7.8
- Raw Total
- 52.7
- Adjusted Total
- 66.8
Team Form & Stats
Vanderbilt
Record 9-2 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 7-4
#12
Model Score
33.3
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
191
Rushing Yds
221
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.4
Tennessee
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
#20
Model Score
33.5
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
227
Rushing Yds
209
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Auburn |
W 45-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Texas |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Missouri |
W 17-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs LSU |
W 31-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 14-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs New Mexico State |
W 42-9 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 27-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Kentucky |
W 56-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 20-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Arkansas |
W 34-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
24.6
Tennessee -1.4
Second Half
28.0
Tennessee -1.2
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 65%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
66.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
66.8
Edge
OVER by 10.3
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.1
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 56
Model: 56.5 (o)
28.3
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
28.1
Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 28.1 • Mode: 10
-2
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 56 Model: 56.5 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
28.3
Raw: 25.5 • Adj: 28.3 • Mode: 31
+2
Model Performance
KENN
75.0% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 87.5% SU
LIB
50.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Owls
-2
-122
o56
Hit %
75%
88%
75%
Flames
+2
+102
u56
Hit %
50%
75%
63%
Model Picks
LIB +2 (-108)
55% Probability
OVER 56 (-110)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
LIB +12 (-463)
75% Probability
OVER 45.5 (-335)
63% Probability
Model Picks
Liberty +2 (-108)
55% Probability
OVER 56 (-110)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
Liberty +12 (-463)
75% Probability
OVER 45.5 (-335)
63% Probability
First Half
20.3
Liberty -4.5
Second Half
22.8
Liberty -3.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
Liberty +12 (-463)
+1.8
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 82.2%
- Model Prob
- 63.5%
- Market Implied
- 77.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +2.1
- Away Residual
- +8.3
- Raw Total
- 43.2
- Adjusted Total
- 56.4
Team Form & Stats
Kennesaw State
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
28.1
Vegas Spread
-2
Passing Yds
169
Rushing Yds
186
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
1.2
Liberty
Record 4-7 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
28.3
Vegas Spread
+2
Passing Yds
147
Rushing Yds
278
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.8
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Jacksonville State |
L 26-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ New Mexico State |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
W 33-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
@ Florida International |
W 45-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 35-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Florida International |
L 27-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 17-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 59-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
@ UTEP |
W 19-8 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 7-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
20.3
Liberty -4.5
Second Half
22.8
Liberty -3.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 63%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
56
Model Play Line
45.5
Model Projection
56.4
Edge
OVER by 10.9
OVER 63% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.3
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 51
Model: 53.5 (o)
28.2
7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6
25.3
Raw: 26.2 • Adj: 25.3 • Mode: 31
+6.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 51 Model: 53.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 6-5
28.2
Raw: 19.1 • Adj: 28.2 • Mode: 10
-6.5
Model Performance
TROY
55.6% ATS · 22.2% O/U · 55.6% SU
USM
71.4% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Trojans
+6.5
+190
o51
Hit %
56%
56%
22%
Golden Eagles
-6.5
-230
u51
Hit %
71%
50%
38%
Model Picks
TROY +6.5 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 51 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Southern Miss +3.5 (-404)
65% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-363)
79% Probability
Model Picks
Troy +6.5 (-112)
59% Probability
OVER 51 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Southern Miss +3.5 (-404)
65% Probability
OVER 40.5 (-363)
79% Probability
First Half
20.9
Troy -2.9
Second Half
24.4
Troy -4.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Southern Miss +3.5 (-404)
-3.6
- Model Prob
- 63.2%
- Market Implied
- 80.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.8%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.7
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +8.1
- Away Residual
- +2.2
- Raw Total
- 45.3
- Adjusted Total
- 53.5
Team Form & Stats
Troy
Record 7-4 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.3
Vegas Spread
+6.5
Passing Yds
193
Rushing Yds
225
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.5
Southern Miss
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
28.2
Vegas Spread
-6.5
Passing Yds
192
Rushing Yds
189
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 0-33 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arkansas State |
L 10-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
W 35-23 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 37-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas State |
W 48-41 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
L 14-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Arkansas State |
W 27-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs UL Monroe |
W 49-21 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Louisiana |
W 22-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
W 38-35 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
20.9
Troy -2.9
Second Half
24.4
Troy -4.2
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 63%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51
Model Play Line
40.5
Model Projection
53.5
Edge
OVER by 13.0
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
27.6
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 58
Model: 54 (u)
26.6
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
27.6
Raw: 26.1 • Adj: 27.6 • Mode: 31
+3.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 58 Model: 54 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
26.6
Raw: 29.3 • Adj: 26.6 • Mode: 28
-3.5
Model Performance
CIN
62.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
TCU
57.1% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 37.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Bearcats
+3.5
+140
o58
Hit %
63%
63%
50%
Horned Frogs
-3.5
-166
u58
Hit %
57%
38%
50%
Model Picks
CIN +3.5 (-115)
61% Probability
UNDER 58 (-112)
60% Probability
Safe Picks
TCU +6 (-409)
63% Probability
UNDER 67.5 (-306)
84% Probability
Model Picks
Cincinnati +3.5 (-115)
61% Probability
UNDER 58 (-112)
60% Probability
Safe Picks
TCU +6 (-409)
63% Probability
UNDER 67.5 (-306)
84% Probability
Second Half
28.8
TCU -1.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 64.2%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.2
- Total Delta
- -2.0
- Home Residual
- -4.7
- Away Residual
- +1.7
- Raw Total
- 55.5
- Adjusted Total
- 54.2
Team Form & Stats
Cincinnati
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
27.6
Vegas Spread
+3.5
Passing Yds
253
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.3
TCU
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
26.6
Vegas Spread
-3.5
Passing Yds
334
Rushing Yds
144
Pass TDs
2.8
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
L 24-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Utah |
L 14-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Baylor |
W 41-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 49-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 20-11 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ BYU |
L 13-44 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Iowa State |
L 17-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ West Virginia |
W 23-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Baylor |
W 42-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Kansas State |
L 28-41 |
✗ |
o |
Second Half
28.8
TCU -1.6
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 64%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58
Model Play Line
67.5
Model Projection
54.2
Edge
UNDER by 13.3
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
35.1
Nov 29 • 3:45PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 54 (o)
19.1
10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
35.1
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 35.1 • Mode: 24
-21.5
Nov 29 • 3:45PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 54 (o)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
19.1
Raw: 18.5 • Adj: 19.1 • Mode: 14
+21.5
Model Performance
JMU
55.6% ATS · 66.7% O/U · 66.7% SU
CCU
50.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Dukes
-21.5
-2400
o53.5
Hit %
56%
67%
67%
Chanticleers
+21.5
+1200
u53.5
Hit %
50%
50%
50%
Model Picks
CCU +21.5 (-108)
63% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-105)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
CCU +29.5 (-321)
81% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-349)
89% Probability
Model Picks
Coastal Carolina +21.5 (-108)
63% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-105)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Coastal Carolina +29.5 (-321)
81% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-349)
89% Probability
First Half
19.5
James Madison -2.7
Second Half
23.1
James Madison -2.9
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Coastal Carolina +29.5 (-321) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:45PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Coastal Carolina +29.5 (-321)
+5.5
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 76.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.4
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +6.0
- Away Residual
- +9.3
- Raw Total
- 42.6
- Adjusted Total
- 54.2
Team Form & Stats
James Madison
Record 10-1 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
#21
Model Score
35.1
Vegas Spread
-21.5
Passing Yds
199
Rushing Yds
198
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.3
Coastal Carolina
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
19.1
Vegas Spread
+21.5
Passing Yds
154
Rushing Yds
198
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs App State |
W 58-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
W 35-23 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
@ Texas State |
W 52-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
W 63-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
W 24-14 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
L 40-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Georgia State |
W 40-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Marshall |
W 44-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ App State |
W 45-37 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UL Monroe |
W 23-8 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.5
James Madison -2.7
Second Half
23.1
James Madison -2.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Coastal Carolina +29.5 (-321)
75%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
63.5
Model Projection
54.2
Edge
UNDER by 9.3
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.4
Nov 29 • 4:30PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 43 (u)
20.5
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
22.4
Raw: 20.1 • Adj: 22.4 • Mode: 24
+0
Nov 29 • 4:30PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 43 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
20.5
Raw: 27.6 • Adj: 20.5 • Mode: 21
+0
Model Performance
FSU
37.5% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
FLA
66.7% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Seminoles
+0
-102
o48.5
Hit %
38%
63%
63%
Gators
+0
-118
u48.5
Hit %
67%
56%
33%
Model Picks
PIC PK (-115)
55% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-112)
65% Probability
Safe Picks
PIC +10 (-423)
75% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-337)
83% Probability
Model Picks
Pick PK (-115)
55% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-112)
65% Probability
Safe Picks
Pick +10 (-423)
75% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-337)
83% Probability
First Half
22.8
Florida -4.8
Second Half
24.9
Florida -2.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 4:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 80.9%
- Model Prob
- 82.8%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.2
- Total Delta
- -5.0
- Home Residual
- -6.4
- Away Residual
- -1.3
- Raw Total
- 47.7
- Adjusted Total
- 42.9
Team Form & Stats
Florida State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
22.4
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
200
Rushing Yds
196
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.1
Florida
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
20.5
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
303
Rushing Yds
178
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Virginia Tech |
W 34-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
L 10-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
W 42-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Stanford |
L 13-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 31-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 24-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Kentucky |
L 7-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Georgia |
L 20-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
W 23-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas A&M |
L 17-34 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
22.8
Florida -4.8
Second Half
24.9
Florida -2.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 83%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
42.9
Edge
UNDER by 16.6
UNDER 83% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
15.0
Nov 29 • 6:30PM ET
OU 43.5
Model: 41 (u)
26.0
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 4-7
15.0
Raw: 21.2 • Adj: 15.0 • Mode: 14
+13.5
Nov 29 • 6:30PM ET
VS
O/U 43.5 Model: 41 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
26.0
Raw: 26.8 • Adj: 26.0 • Mode: 24
-13.5
Model Performance
ORST
66.7% ATS · 66.7% O/U · 66.7% SU
WSU
55.6% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 77.8% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Beavers
+13.5
+410
o43.5
Hit %
67%
67%
67%
Cougars
-13.5
-550
u43.5
Hit %
56%
78%
33%
Model Picks
ORST +13.5 (-108)
56% Probability
UNDER 43.5 (-115)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Washington State -3.5 (-363)
67% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-432)
81% Probability
Model Picks
Oregon State +13.5 (-108)
56% Probability
UNDER 43.5 (-115)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Washington State -3.5 (-363)
67% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-432)
81% Probability
First Half
22.1
Washington State -2.5
Second Half
25.9
Washington State -3.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 6:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Washington State -3.5 (-363)
-2.5
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 81.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.8
- Total Delta
- -5.3
- Home Residual
- -2.0
- Away Residual
- -6.8
- Raw Total
- 48.0
- Adjusted Total
- 41.0
Team Form & Stats
Oregon State
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
15.0
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
176
Rushing Yds
230
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.6
Washington State
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
26.0
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
216
Rushing Yds
235
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tulsa |
L 14-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
L 17-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Washington State |
W 10-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 14-39 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ App State |
L 23-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 28-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
L 7-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Toledo |
W 28-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Virginia |
L 20-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
22.1
Washington State -2.5
Second Half
25.9
Washington State -3.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
43.5
Model Play Line
53.5
Model Projection
41.0
Edge
UNDER by 12.5
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
18.2
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 58
Model: 61 (o)
43.0
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
18.2
Raw: 22.3 • Adj: 18.2 • Mode: 24
+28.5
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 58 Model: 61 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
43.0
Raw: 31.4 • Adj: 43.0 • Mode: 38
-28.5
Model Performance
RICE
25.0% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
USF
57.1% ATS · 87.5% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Owls
+28.5
+2000
o58
Hit %
25%
63%
50%
Bulls
-28.5
-6500
u58
Hit %
57%
63%
88%
Model Picks
RICE +28.5 (-118)
58% Probability
OVER 58 (-110)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
RICE +38.5 (-378)
76% Probability
OVER 47.5 (-399)
79% Probability
Model Picks
Rice +28.5 (-118)
58% Probability
OVER 58 (-110)
59% Probability
Safe Picks
Rice +38.5 (-378)
76% Probability
OVER 47.5 (-399)
79% Probability
First Half
25.9
South Florida -4.5
Second Half
27.8
South Florida -4.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 79.1%
- Model Prob
- 79.1%
- Market Implied
- 80.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +13.0
- Away Residual
- +0.3
- Raw Total
- 53.7
- Adjusted Total
- 61.2
Team Form & Stats
Rice
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
18.2
Vegas Spread
+28.5
Passing Yds
257
Rushing Yds
172
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.1
South Florida
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
43.0
Vegas Spread
-28.5
Passing Yds
147
Rushing Yds
345
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
2.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs UAB |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
L 14-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs UConn |
W 37-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ UTSA |
L 13-61 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
L 21-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Navy |
L 38-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
vs UTSA |
W 55-23 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
L 31-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
W 48-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
W 63-36 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
25.9
South Florida -4.5
Second Half
27.8
South Florida -4.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58
Model Play Line
47.5
Model Projection
61.2
Edge
OVER by 13.7
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.7
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 40 (u)
20.5
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
19.7
Raw: 20.3 • Adj: 19.7 • Mode: 17
+4
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 40 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
20.5
Raw: 18.8 • Adj: 20.5 • Mode: 18
-4
Model Performance
MD
62.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
MSU
87.5% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Terrapins
+4
+160
o48.5
Hit %
63%
63%
50%
Spartans
-4
-192
u48.5
Hit %
88%
75%
63%
Model Picks
MD +4 (-112)
58% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
75% Probability
Safe Picks
Michigan State +5.5 (-438)
66% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-328)
91% Probability
Model Picks
Maryland +4 (-112)
58% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
75% Probability
Safe Picks
Michigan State +5.5 (-438)
66% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-328)
91% Probability
First Half
17.9
Maryland -0.5
Second Half
21.1
Maryland -0.9
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Michigan State +5.5 (-438)
-3.2
- Model Prob
- 59.5%
- Market Implied
- 81.4%
- Model Prob
- 90.6%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.8
- Total Delta
- -3.4
- Home Residual
- -2.0
- Away Residual
- -3.3
- Raw Total
- 39.1
- Adjusted Total
- 40.2
Team Form & Stats
Maryland
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
19.7
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
192
Rushing Yds
194
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.0
Michigan State
Record 3-8 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
20.5
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
181
Rushing Yds
175
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
L 6-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Rutgers |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 10-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UCLA |
L 17-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Penn State |
L 10-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Minnesota |
L 20-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
L 20-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 13-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UCLA |
L 13-38 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
17.9
Maryland -0.5
Second Half
21.1
Maryland -0.9
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 60%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 91%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
40.2
Edge
UNDER by 19.3
UNDER 91% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.8
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 48.5 (u)
25.7
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
22.8
Raw: 22.9 • Adj: 22.8 • Mode: 17
+8.5
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 48.5 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.7
Raw: 19.3 • Adj: 25.7 • Mode: 14
-8.5
Model Performance
VT
0.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 50.0% SU
UVA
66.7% ATS · 37.5% O/U · 55.6% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Hokies
+8.5
+260
o52.5
Hit %
0%
50%
63%
Cavaliers
-8.5
-325
u52.5
Hit %
67%
56%
38%
Model Picks
VT +8.5 (-105)
64% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
VT +18.5 (-405)
82% Probability
UNDER 62.5 (-337)
85% Probability
Model Picks
Virginia Tech +8.5 (-105)
64% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
62% Probability
Safe Picks
Virginia Tech +18.5 (-405)
82% Probability
UNDER 62.5 (-337)
85% Probability
First Half
20.4
Virginia Tech -2.4
Second Half
21.9
Virginia Tech -1.1
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Virginia Tech +18.5 (-405) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Virginia Tech +18.5 (-405)
+5.7
- Model Prob
- 82.2%
- Market Implied
- 80.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.3
- Total Delta
- +1.2
- Home Residual
- +2.0
- Away Residual
- -0.1
- Raw Total
- 42.2
- Adjusted Total
- 48.5
Team Form & Stats
Virginia Tech
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
22.8
Vegas Spread
+8.5
Passing Yds
156
Rushing Yds
247
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.4
Virginia
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
#19
Model Score
25.7
Vegas Spread
-8.5
Passing Yds
208
Rushing Yds
188
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
L 14-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Louisville |
L 16-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs California |
W 42-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Georgia Tech |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 23-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Duke |
W 34-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 9-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ California |
W 31-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ North Carolina |
W 17-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Washington State |
W 22-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.4
Virginia Tech -2.4
Second Half
21.9
Virginia Tech -1.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 82%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Virginia Tech +18.5 (-405)
82%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
48.5
Edge
UNDER by 14.0
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.2
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 48.5 (o)
27.5
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
21.2
Raw: 15.4 • Adj: 21.2 • Mode: 14
+7.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 48.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
27.5
Raw: 27.7 • Adj: 27.5 • Mode: 21
-7.5
Model Performance
NW
57.1% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
ILL
22.2% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 77.8% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Wildcats
+7.5
+225
o46.5
Hit %
57%
63%
50%
Fighting Illini
-7.5
-278
u46.5
Hit %
22%
78%
56%
Model Picks
NW +7.5 (-115)
53% Probability
OVER 46.5 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Illinois +2 (-365)
70% Probability
OVER 35.5 (-403)
75% Probability
Model Picks
Northwestern +7.5 (-115)
53% Probability
OVER 46.5 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
Illinois +2 (-365)
70% Probability
OVER 35.5 (-403)
75% Probability
First Half
20.5
Illinois -6.1
Second Half
22.7
Illinois -6.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Illinois +2 (-365)
-1.2
- Model Prob
- 66.5%
- Market Implied
- 78.5%
- Model Prob
- 74.9%
- Market Implied
- 80.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.9
- Total Delta
- +4.5
- Home Residual
- -0.3
- Away Residual
- +7.0
- Raw Total
- 43.1
- Adjusted Total
- 48.7
Team Form & Stats
Northwestern
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
21.2
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
192
Rushing Yds
169
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
0.9
Illinois
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
27.5
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
257
Rushing Yds
178
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
L 22-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ USC |
L 17-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Nebraska |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 19-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Penn State |
W 22-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 24-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Rutgers |
W 35-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Washington |
L 25-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Ohio State |
L 16-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 43-27 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
20.5
Illinois -6.1
Second Half
22.7
Illinois -6.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 66%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
35.5
Model Projection
48.7
Edge
OVER by 13.2
OVER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.9
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 58.5
Model: 57 (u)
37.2
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
19.9
Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 19.9 • Mode: 17
+21.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 57 (u)
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
37.2
Raw: 35.6 • Adj: 37.2 • Mode: 38
-21.5
Model Performance
UCLA
66.7% ATS · 88.9% O/U · 44.4% SU
USC
77.8% ATS · 44.4% O/U · 88.9% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Bruins
+21.5
+1000
o58.5
Hit %
67%
44%
89%
Trojans
-21.5
-1800
u58.5
Hit %
78%
89%
44%
Model Picks
UCLA +21.5 (-110)
61% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-105)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
USC -11.5 (-342)
64% Probability
UNDER 68.5 (-307)
78% Probability
Model Picks
UCLA +21.5 (-110)
61% Probability
UNDER 58.5 (-105)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
USC -11.5 (-342)
64% Probability
UNDER 68.5 (-307)
78% Probability
Second Half
28.4
USC -9.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.7
- Total Delta
- +1.9
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- +2.7
- Raw Total
- 53.2
- Adjusted Total
- 57.1
Team Form & Stats
UCLA
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.9
Vegas Spread
+21.5
Passing Yds
236
Rushing Yds
165
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
0.7
USC
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
#16
Model Score
37.2
Vegas Spread
-21.5
Passing Yds
327
Rushing Yds
200
Pass TDs
2.8
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Ohio State |
L 10-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 6-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 20-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 38-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Iowa |
W 26-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
vs Northwestern |
W 38-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Nebraska |
W 21-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Notre Dame |
L 24-34 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
W 31-13 |
✓ |
u |
Second Half
28.4
USC -9.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58.5
Model Play Line
68.5
Model Projection
57.1
Edge
UNDER by 11.4
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.4
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 45 (u)
19.6
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.4
Raw: 24.8 • Adj: 25.4 • Mode: 31
-5.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 45 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
19.6
Raw: 24.4 • Adj: 19.6 • Mode: 17
+5.5
Model Performance
ALA
12.5% ATS · 22.2% O/U · 55.6% SU
AUB
44.4% ATS · 0.0% O/U · 66.7% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Crimson Tide
-5.5
-218
o46.5
Hit %
13%
56%
22%
Tigers
+5.5
+180
u46.5
Hit %
44%
67%
0%
Model Picks
ALA -5.5 (-112)
51% Probability
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
Auburn +15.5 (-432)
71% Probability
UNDER 56.5 (-331)
78% Probability
Model Picks
Alabama -5.5 (-112)
51% Probability
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
54% Probability
Safe Picks
Auburn +15.5 (-432)
71% Probability
UNDER 56.5 (-331)
78% Probability
First Half
23.0
Alabama -0.6
Second Half
26.2
Auburn -0.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Auburn +15.5 (-432)
-0.3
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 81.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.1
- Total Delta
- -3.4
- Home Residual
- -6.2
- Away Residual
- +0.5
- Raw Total
- 49.2
- Adjusted Total
- 45.0
Team Form & Stats
Alabama
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
#10
Model Score
25.4
Vegas Spread
-5.5
Passing Yds
217
Rushing Yds
201
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.6
Auburn
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
19.6
Vegas Spread
+5.5
Passing Yds
224
Rushing Yds
223
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 21-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs LSU |
W 20-9 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ South Carolina |
W 29-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Tennessee |
W 37-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Missouri |
W 27-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 38-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Kentucky |
L 3-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arkansas |
W 33-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Missouri |
L 17-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Georgia |
L 10-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
23.0
Alabama -0.6
Second Half
26.2
Auburn -0.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
45.0
Edge
UNDER by 11.5
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
13.9
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 50.5 (u)
36.7
1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
13.9
Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 13.9 • Mode: 24
+29.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 50.5 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 4-7
36.7
Raw: 28.3 • Adj: 36.7 • Mode: 25
-29.5
Model Performance
CHAR
28.6% ATS · 87.5% O/U · 75.0% SU
TULN
62.5% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 77.8% SU
Spread
Money
Total
49ers
+29.5
+2200
o52.5
Hit %
29%
75%
88%
Green Wave
-29.5
-8000
u52.5
Hit %
63%
78%
56%
Model Picks
CHAR +29.5 (-115)
66% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
CHAR +38.5 (-325)
84% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-281)
88% Probability
Model Picks
Charlotte +29.5 (-115)
66% Probability
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
55% Probability
Safe Picks
Charlotte +38.5 (-325)
84% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-281)
88% Probability
First Half
24.7
Tulane -2.7
Second Half
26.7
Tulane -2.7
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Charlotte +38.5 (-325) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Charlotte +38.5 (-325)
+6.8
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 76.5%
- Model Prob
- 73.1%
- Market Implied
- 73.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.3
- Total Delta
- -1.1
- Home Residual
- +3.3
- Away Residual
- -5.0
- Raw Total
- 51.3
- Adjusted Total
- 50.6
Team Form & Stats
Charlotte
Record 1-10 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
13.9
Vegas Spread
+29.5
Passing Yds
238
Rushing Yds
166
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.2
Tulane
Record 9-2 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 4-7
#24
Model Score
36.7
Vegas Spread
-29.5
Passing Yds
248
Rushing Yds
212
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UTSA |
L 7-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ East Carolina |
L 22-48 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs North Texas |
L 20-54 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Temple |
L 14-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Army |
L 7-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
W 35-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
W 38-32 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ UTSA |
L 26-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Army |
W 24-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs East Carolina |
W 26-19 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
24.7
Tulane -2.7
Second Half
26.7
Tulane -2.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Charlotte +38.5 (-325)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
50.6
Edge
UNDER by 8.9
UNDER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
20.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 43.5 (u)
23.0
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
20.5
Raw: 23.0 • Adj: 20.5 • Mode: 24
+7
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 43.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
23.0
Raw: 21.9 • Adj: 23.0 • Mode: 21
-7
Model Performance
UNC
37.5% ATS · 28.6% O/U · 100.0% SU
NCST
50.0% ATS · 75.0% O/U · 75.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Tar Heels
+7
+225
o48.5
Hit %
38%
100%
29%
Wolfpack
-7
-278
u48.5
Hit %
50%
75%
75%
Model Picks
UNC +7 (-115)
61% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-112)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
NC State +2.5 (-366)
63% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-362)
83% Probability
Model Picks
North Carolina +7 (-115)
61% Probability
UNDER 48.5 (-112)
64% Probability
Safe Picks
NC State +2.5 (-366)
63% Probability
UNDER 59.5 (-362)
83% Probability
First Half
21.4
NC State -0.0
Second Half
23.5
North Carolina -1.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
NC State +2.5 (-366)
-4.5
- Model Prob
- 66.5%
- Market Implied
- 78.5%
- Model Prob
- 82.6%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.0
- Total Delta
- -2.6
- Home Residual
- -1.3
- Away Residual
- -2.9
- Raw Total
- 44.9
- Adjusted Total
- 43.5
Team Form & Stats
North Carolina
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
20.5
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
180
Rushing Yds
224
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.5
NC State
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
23.0
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
246
Rushing Yds
166
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Wake Forest |
L 12-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 20-15 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
@ Syracuse |
W 27-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 16-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ California |
L 18-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 7-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
W 48-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Pittsburgh |
L 34-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Notre Dame |
L 7-36 |
✗ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
vs Virginia Tech |
L 21-23 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
21.4
NC State -0.0
Second Half
23.5
North Carolina -1.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 66%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 83%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
43.5
Edge
UNDER by 16.0
UNDER 83% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
32.9
Nov 29 • 8:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 53 (u)
20.2
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8
32.9
Raw: 29.9 • Adj: 32.9 • Mode: 31
-13.5
Nov 29 • 8:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 53 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 3-8
20.2
Raw: 19.8 • Adj: 20.2 • Mode: 21
+13.5
Model Performance
SMU
66.7% ATS · 0.0% O/U · 77.8% SU
CAL
50.0% ATS · 42.9% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Mustangs
-13.5
-550
o53.5
Hit %
67%
78%
0%
Golden Bears
+13.5
+410
u53.5
Hit %
50%
50%
43%
Model Picks
CAL +13.5 (-112)
52% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
CAL +23.5 (-398)
72% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-317)
77% Probability
Model Picks
California +13.5 (-112)
52% Probability
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
51% Probability
Safe Picks
California +23.5 (-398)
72% Probability
UNDER 63.5 (-317)
77% Probability
Second Half
26.2
SMU -6.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 8:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
California +23.5 (-398)
+0.8
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 79.9%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.9
- Total Delta
- +2.1
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- +3.1
- Raw Total
- 49.7
- Adjusted Total
- 53.1
Team Form & Stats
SMU
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
32.9
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
247
Rushing Yds
225
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.7
California
Record 6-5 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
20.2
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
189
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 45-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Miami |
W 26-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Wake Forest |
L 12-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
W 35-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 34-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
W 29-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 21-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
@ Virginia Tech |
L 34-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
W 21-18 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Duke |
L 21-45 |
✗ |
o |
Second Half
26.2
SMU -6.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
63.5
Model Projection
53.1
Edge
UNDER by 10.4
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
31.3
Nov 29 • 9:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 54 (o)
22.7
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
31.3
Raw: 24.7 • Adj: 31.3 • Mode: 25
-7.5
Nov 29 • 9:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 54 (o)
3-8 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8
22.7
Raw: 22.8 • Adj: 22.7 • Mode: 24
+7.5
Model Performance
UNLV
75.0% ATS · 62.5% O/U · 87.5% SU
NEV
28.6% ATS · 25.0% O/U · 62.5% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Rebels
-7.5
-298
o53.5
Hit %
75%
88%
63%
Wolf Pack
+7.5
+240
u53.5
Hit %
29%
63%
25%
Model Picks
UNLV -7.5 (-112)
53% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-108)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Nevada +17.5 (-336)
71% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-355)
78% Probability
Model Picks
UNLV -7.5 (-112)
53% Probability
OVER 53.5 (-108)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Nevada +17.5 (-336)
71% Probability
OVER 43.5 (-355)
78% Probability
First Half
22.3
UNLV -1.1
Second Half
25.2
UNLV -0.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 9:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Nevada +17.5 (-336)
-1.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.2
- Total Delta
- +4.2
- Home Residual
- -0.8
- Away Residual
- +7.4
- Raw Total
- 47.5
- Adjusted Total
- 54.0
Team Form & Stats
UNLV
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
31.3
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
186
Rushing Yds
226
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.5
Nevada
Record 3-8 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
22.7
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
205
Rushing Yds
197
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Utah State |
W 29-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
W 42-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs New Mexico |
L 35-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Boise State |
L 31-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Air Force |
W 51-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs San José State |
W 55-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Utah State |
L 14-51 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs Boise State |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ New Mexico |
L 22-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
L 10-44 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
22.3
UNLV -1.1
Second Half
25.2
UNLV -0.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
43.5
Model Projection
54.0
Edge
OVER by 10.5
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
20.7
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
OU 47.5
Model: 45 (u)
24.4
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
20.7
Raw: 23.1 • Adj: 20.7 • Mode: 17
-3.5
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
VS
O/U 47.5 Model: 45 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 6-5
24.4
Raw: 30.1 • Adj: 24.4 • Mode: 31
+3.5
Model Performance
FRES
57.1% ATS · 14.3% O/U · 85.7% SU
SJSU
62.5% ATS · 50.0% O/U · 50.0% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Bulldogs
-3.5
-175
o47.5
Hit %
57%
86%
14%
Spartans
+3.5
+145
u47.5
Hit %
63%
50%
50%
Model Picks
FRES -3.5 (-112)
33% Probability
UNDER 47.5 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
San José State +13.5 (-333)
84% Probability
UNDER 57.5 (-315)
80% Probability
Model Picks
Fresno State -3.5 (-112)
33% Probability
UNDER 47.5 (-108)
57% Probability
Safe Picks
San José State +13.5 (-333)
84% Probability
UNDER 57.5 (-315)
80% Probability
First Half
24.9
San José State -3.5
Second Half
28.3
San José State -3.5
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · San José State +13.5 (-333) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 10:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
San José State +13.5 (-333)
-0.2
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 76.9%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.7
- Total Delta
- -6.0
- Home Residual
- -4.0
- Away Residual
- -5.6
- Raw Total
- 53.2
- Adjusted Total
- 45.0
Team Form & Stats
Fresno State
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
20.7
Vegas Spread
-3.5
Passing Yds
232
Rushing Yds
187
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.3
San José State
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
24.4
Vegas Spread
+3.5
Passing Yds
309
Rushing Yds
187
Pass TDs
2.4
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Wyoming |
W 24-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Boise State |
W 30-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
L 0-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
L 21-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Nevada |
W 20-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Nevada |
L 10-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Air Force |
L 16-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Hawai'i |
W 45-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ Utah State |
L 25-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Wyoming |
L 28-35 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
24.9
San José State -3.5
Second Half
28.3
San José State -3.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
San José State +13.5 (-333)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
47.5
Model Play Line
57.5
Model Projection
45.0
Edge
UNDER by 12.5
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
39.8
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
OU 49.5
Model: 52.5 (o)
12.4
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
39.8
Raw: 27.4 • Adj: 39.8 • Mode: 31
-32.5
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
VS
O/U 49.5 Model: 52.5 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
12.4
Raw: 17.1 • Adj: 12.4 • Mode: 10
+32.5
Model Performance
ND
44.4% ATS · 33.3% O/U · 66.7% SU
STAN
55.6% ATS · 55.6% O/U · 77.8% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Fighting Irish
-32.5
-9000
o49.5
Hit %
44%
67%
33%
Cardinal
+32.5
+2500
u49.5
Hit %
56%
78%
56%
Model Picks
STAN +32.5 (-112)
63% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-112)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
STAN +42.5 (-347)
82% Probability
OVER 39.5 (-392)
82% Probability
Model Picks
Stanford +32.5 (-112)
63% Probability
OVER 49.5 (-112)
58% Probability
Safe Picks
Stanford +42.5 (-347)
82% Probability
OVER 39.5 (-392)
82% Probability
First Half
20.3
Notre Dame -5.1
Second Half
24.2
Notre Dame -5.2
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Stanford +42.5 (-347) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 10:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Stanford +42.5 (-347)
+5.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.6%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- -0.3
- Away Residual
- +9.3
- Raw Total
- 44.5
- Adjusted Total
- 52.3
Team Form & Stats
Notre Dame
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
#9
Model Score
39.8
Vegas Spread
-32.5
Passing Yds
205
Rushing Yds
226
Pass TDs
1.8
Rush TDs
1.7
Stanford
Record 4-7 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
12.4
Vegas Spread
+32.5
Passing Yds
167
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Pittsburgh |
W 37-15 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Navy |
W 49-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 25-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs USC |
W 34-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 36-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ North Carolina |
L 15-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 7-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Florida State |
W 20-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 10-34 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.3
Notre Dame -5.1
Second Half
24.2
Notre Dame -5.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Stanford +42.5 (-347)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
49.5
Model Play Line
39.5
Model Projection
52.3
Edge
OVER by 12.8
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.3
Nov 29 • 11:00PM ET
OU 44.5
Model: 45 (o)
25.9
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 2-9
19.3
Raw: 21.4 • Adj: 19.3 • Mode: 17
+7.5
Nov 29 • 11:00PM ET
VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 45 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.9
Raw: 17.2 • Adj: 25.9 • Mode: 14
-7.5
Model Performance
WYO
37.5% ATS · 25.0% O/U · 87.5% SU
HAW
71.4% ATS · 57.1% O/U · 71.4% SU
Spread
Money
Total
Cowboys
+7.5
+270
o44.5
Hit %
38%
88%
25%
Rainbow Warriors
-7.5
-340
u44.5
Hit %
71%
71%
57%
Model Picks
WYO +7.5 (-105)
52% Probability
OVER 44.5 (-112)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Hawai'i +2.5 (-462)
70% Probability
OVER 34.5 (-417)
80% Probability
Model Picks
Wyoming +7.5 (-105)
52% Probability
OVER 44.5 (-112)
52% Probability
Safe Picks
Hawai'i +2.5 (-462)
70% Probability
OVER 34.5 (-417)
80% Probability
First Half
18.2
Wyoming -1.6
Second Half
20.4
Wyoming -2.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 11:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Hawai'i +2.5 (-462)
-0.9
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 82.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 80.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +4.2
- Home Residual
- +10.2
- Away Residual
- -3.0
- Raw Total
- 38.7
- Adjusted Total
- 45.2
Team Form & Stats
Wyoming
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 2-9
Model Score
19.3
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
165
Rushing Yds
221
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.1
Hawai'i
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
25.9
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
198
Rushing Yds
171
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Fresno State |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ San Diego State |
L 7-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Colorado State |
W 28-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs San José State |
W 35-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
W 38-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ San José State |
L 38-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
W 31-19 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Utah State |
W 44-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
W 44-35 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
18.2
Wyoming -1.6
Second Half
20.4
Wyoming -2.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
44.5
Model Play Line
34.5
Model Projection
45.2
Edge
OVER by 10.7
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
Generated with CFB Advanced Analytics Engine
Data refreshed: 11/29 11:27 AM
